Golden Globe Predictions

The Golden Globes are a lot harder to predict than the Oscars because they are a lot more esoteric and more prone to surprise winners. In this way they are sometimes a lot more enjoyable to watch than the actual Oscars are, plus the Globes will sometimes go more in my direction critically than the Oscars do. Not to mention that they have a separate category for "comedy", which usually results in movies I like (Adaptation, Lost In Translation, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind) getting recognized in some manner than they wouldn't normally at the Oscars with either a Picture win or nomination.

However I'd like to go off on one slight rant before I predict: any group which does not even nominate Amy Adams for Best Supporting Actress needs to be tied up and have their bad taste beat out of them with a stick. That being said, here we go:

Best Motion Picture - Drama
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Brokeback Mountain

At this point in the game, nothing's taking this one down quite yet. Might lose momentum in time for the Oscars.

Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
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Walk the Line

Take a movie that really should be in the Drama category and it is probably going to win. See Ray from last year.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
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Phillip Seymour Hoffman -- Capote

The Globes aren't as prone to automatically throwing the acting winners to the picture winners the way the Oscars are.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
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Joaquin Phoenix -- Walk the Line

Really the only person in the running for an actual Oscar nomination in the race, he probably wins by default.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama
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Felicity Huffman -- Transamerica

Ride your Desperate Housewives popularity to undeserved acclaim!

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
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Reese Witherspoon -- Walk the Line

The other contender for Best Actress Oscar takes the other category.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
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George Clooney -- Syriana

Consolation Prize for not getting anything for Good Night, and Good Luck.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
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Rachel Weisz -- The Constant Gardener

I don't see them going for Michelle Williams, but I could be wrong.

Best Director - Motion Picture
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Ang Lee -- Brokeback Mountain

Frontrunners don't usually have a problem in the picture/director categories here.

Best Screenplay - Motion Picture
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Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco -- Crash

Did you know that there is a new phrase going around, called having a "crash moment", thanks to Oprah Winfrey? This movie is going to get *something*.