Oscar Winner Predictions

First, the "Big 8", which is the only thing that anyone actually remembers.

BEST PICTURE
Brokeback Mountain

BEST DIRECTOR
Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain

BEST ACTOR
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote

BEST ACTRESS
Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
George Clooney - Syriana

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Brokeback Mountain

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Crash

Now, for kicks, I will include my likely to be highly inaccurate predictions for the rest of the categories, the only ones I am interested in are documentary, animated film, cinematography, and foreign film (the last one, being that I haven't seen any of the movies, might give me ideas of what I want to see later? I don't know).

Seriously, no one will *ever* see the documentary shorts and animated shorts. And nobody *cares* which movie has the best costumes, art direction, sound editing, sound mixing, makeup, etc. Sometimes I'm interested in Visual FX but I think King Kong has it so locked up it's not even worth thinking about.

And why, oh why, do the Oscars *still* not have a category for Ensemble Cast? It is the most ridiculous thing in the world. What about the movies like Syriana, or Crash (although each had one nominee) where barely anyone is in these movies for more than ten minutes? Isn't it worthwhile to award the cast in its entirety? The Screen Actors Guild does it, it's about time. End of rant (:

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Wallace & Gromit in the Curse of the Were-Rabbit

ANIMATED SHORT *I'll pick this one based on title*
Badgered

LIVE ACTION SHORT *again, title*
Ausreisser (The Runaway)

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Tsotsi

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
March of the Penguins

DOCUMENTARY SHORT *again, title time*
God Sleeps in Rwanda

ART DIRECTION
Memoirs of a Geisha

VISUAL F/X
King Kong

COSTUMES
Memoirs of a Geisha

MAKEUP
The Chronicles of Narnia

EDITING
The Constant Gardener

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Brokeback Mountain

SOUND MIXING
King Kong

SOUND EDITING
King Kong

ORIGINAL SCORE
Memoirs of a Geisha

ORIGINAL SONG
Crash -- "Into the Deep"